ABPW10 PGTW 010600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/010600Z-020600ZOCT2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PERAL HARBOR HI/010121ZOCT2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
13.9N 133.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 132.0E, APPROXIMATELY 482 NM 
EAST OF LEGAZPI. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) REVEALS AN 
ORGANIZED AND CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH 
PERSISTENT CONVECTION. A 010030Z ASCAT-B PASS SHOWS A DEFINED 
CIRCULATION WITH STRONGER WINDS (20-25 KTS) WRAPPING AROUND THE 
NORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES OF INVEST 93W. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (15 KNOTS OR LESS), DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURE (29-30 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON 
STEADY DEVELOPMENT FOR INVEST 93W AS IT TRACKS TOWARD NORTHERN LUZON 
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 
AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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