ABPW10 PGTW 010200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/010200Z-010600ZOCT2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010121ZOCT2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
14.1N 135.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 132.0E, APPROXIMATELY 633 NM 
EAST OF MANILA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH IMPROVED CONVECTIVE BANDING 
WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. A 302214Z SSMIS 91 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS 
IMPROVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING TIGHTLY INTO AN ELONGATED LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE 
FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 5-10 KNOTS, WARM (28C-
30C) SSTS AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, ENHANCED BY THE TUTT POSITIONED TO THE 
NORTH. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION, WITH A WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 010130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.//
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