ABIO10 PGTW 290600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/290600Z-291800ZSEP2025//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 20.2N 
70.7E, APPROXIMATELY 155 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXTREMELY BROAD AREA OF 
TURNING CHARACTERIZED BY FLARING CONVECTION AND NO DEFINED LLCC WITH 
CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH BEING SHEARED OFF. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS MARGINALLY UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS AT THIS TIME WITH MODERATE TO 
HIGH (20KT-30KT) VWS AND RELATIVELY WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, OFFSET BY 
WARM SST (27C-29C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE 
CONFIDENT IN A STEADY INTENSIFICATION OF THE AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE 
NEXT 48-72 HOURS AS THE INVEST TRANSITIONS OVER OPEN OCEAN. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)//
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