ABPW10 PGTW 230600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/230600Z-240600ZSEP2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230151ZSEP2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230152ZSEP2025//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230153ZSEP2025//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 23SEP25 0000Z, TYPHOON 24W (RAGASA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
20.0N 118.2E, APPROXIMATELY 263 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, AND 
HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 23SEP25 0000Z, TYPHOON 25W (NEOGURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
30.5N 153.1E, APPROXIMATELY 381 NM NORTH OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA, AND HAD 
TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN33 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.2N 138.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 136.6E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM 
WEST-NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
SHOWS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING OVER A DEVELOPING LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 230035Z ASCAT VERIFIES A CLOSED 
CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED, WITH 15-20 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING FROM THE 
NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND MODERATE 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. 
GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL 
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN 
AGREEMENT AS WELL THAT 92W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND 
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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