ABPW10 PGTW 230200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/230200Z-230600ZSEP2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZSEP2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221952ZSEP2025//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230153ZSEP2025//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 22SEP25 1800Z, TYPHOON 24W (RAGASA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
19.6N 119.3E, APPROXIMATELY 328 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, AND 
HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 22SEP25 1800Z, TYPHOON 25W (NEOGURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
30.5N 152.8E, APPROXIMATELY 383 NM NORTH OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA, AND HAD 
TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
100 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN33 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.1N 138.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2N 138.2E, APPROXIMATELY 40.3 NM 
NORTH OF YAP. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS 
PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER. A 230035Z ASCAT VERIFIES A CLOSED CIRCULATION HAS 
DEVELOPED, WITH 15-20 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING FROM THE NORTH OF THE 
CIRCULATION CENTER. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (15-20 KTS) AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL INTENSIFY 
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT AS 
WELL THAT 92W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND INTENSIFY OVER THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 
18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 
230200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO 
HIGH.//
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