ABPW10 PGTW 222200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/222200Z-230600ZSEP2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZSEP2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221952ZSEP2025//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 22SEP25 1800Z, TYPHOON 24W (RAGASA) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
19.6N 119.3E, APPROXIMATELY 328 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, AND 
HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS GUSTING TO 150 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 22SEP25 1800Z, TYPHOON 25W (NEOGURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
30.5N 152.8E, APPROXIMATELY 383 NM NORTH OF MINAMI TORI SHIMA, AND HAD 
TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
100 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN33 PGTW 222100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
10.4N 139.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 138.2E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM 
NORTH OF YAP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) 
DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH RAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO 
ORGANIZE. IT ALSO SHOWS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION 
CENTER (LLCC).  THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM 
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(15-20 KTS), AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48 
HOURS WITH GFS BEING THE MOST INTENSE. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN 
AGREEMENT AS WELL THAT 92W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND 
INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM.//
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