ABPW10 PGTW 220600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/220600Z-230600ZSEP2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZSEP2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220152ZSEP2025//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 22SEP25 0000Z, SUPER TYPHOON 24W (RAGASA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 19.3N 122.9E, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, 
AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 145 KNOTS GUSTING TO 175 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 22SEP25 0000Z, TYPHOON 25W (NEOGURI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
29.7N 151.0E, APPROXIMATELY 367 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MINAMI TORI 
SHIMA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS GUSTING 
TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN33 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.4N 
139.2E, APPROXIMATELY 82.2 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED BROAD AREA OF 
FLARING CONVECTION FEATURING MODERATE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE NORTHWEST 
PERIPHERY. A 212330Z ASCAT-C PASS SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH 
STRENGTHENING WINDS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE WEAKLY 
DEFINED AREA OF CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL 
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25 
KNOTS), MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 
GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT INVEST 92W WILL HAVE A NORTHWESTWARD 
TRACK WITH STEADY DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN