ABIO10 PGTW 110200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/
REISSUED/110200Z-111800ZSEP2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101951ZSEP2025//
REF/B/MSG JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PERAL HARBOR HI/100751ZSEP2025//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS TROPICAL 
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
24.6N 62.0E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 10SEP25 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (THREE) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 10.2S 64.7E, APPROXIMATELY 499 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 102100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
5.5S 95.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.2S 95.5E, APPROXIMATELY 670 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT 
WITH MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, OFFSET BY WARM 
(29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT, WITH 93S 
TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD WITH MARGINAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 
24 HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE ALSO IN AGREEMENT THAT THE 
CIRCULATION WILL TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD, WITH ECMWF SHOWING SUPPORT 
FOR A HIGHER INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1)//
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