ABIO10 PGTW 072000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/072000Z-081800ZSEP2025//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.0S 
78.1E, APPROXIMATELY 254 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED AREA OF CONVECTION WITH 
LITTLE TO NO BANDING EVIDENT. 850MB VORTICITY ANALYSIS INDICATES THE 
INVEST IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TROF. A 071605Z ASCAT-C 
IMAGE SHOWS 10-15 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING AROUND THE BROAD CIRCULATION, WITH 
20-30 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF INVEST 92S. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KNOTS), MODERATE DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW 
(PRIMARILY WESTWARD) ALOFT, AND WARM (27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 
GLOBAL MODELS SHOW MINOR DEVELOPMENT WITH A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK 
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS, PASSING CLOSE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM 
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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