ABPW10 PGTW 261500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/261500Z-270600ZAUG2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
14.8N 122.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 122.1E, APPROXIMATELY 68 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST OF 
THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT 
WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), VERY WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (30 C), AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT.  LAND 
INTERACTION AND A HIGHLY TILTED VORTEX ARE CURRENTLY HINDRANCES MOVING 
FORWARD AS 93W CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE 
IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL TRACK WESTWARD, WITH MARGINAL 
DEVELOPMENT IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE MORE SPLIT, WITH 
ECENS FAVORING WEAK DEVELOPMENT EAST OF LUZON ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK, 
WHILE GEFS ON THE OTHER HAND IS LESS AGGRESSIVE AND FAVORS DEVELOPMENT 
AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITS ACROSS LUZON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 
BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 19W (KAJIKI) INFORMATION DUE TO 
FINAL WARNING EXPIRATION.//
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