ABPW10 PGTW 062230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/062230Z-070600ZAUG2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060151ZAUG2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061951ZAUG2025//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/062221ZAUG2025//
NARR/REFS A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WARNING. REF C IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 06AUG25 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (BAILU) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 162.2E, APPROXIMATELY 959 NM EAST OF MISAWA, 
JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 060300) FOR THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) AT 06AUG25 1800Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (FIFTEEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 156.8E, APPROXIMATELY 434 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF 
MINAMI TORI SHIMA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 062100) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.3N 148.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 148.1E, APPROXIMATELY 236 NM 
NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
DEPICTS PERSISTENT CENTRALIZED CONVECTION OVER A COMPACT LOW-LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE 
CONDITIONS WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KNOTS), GOOD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C). DETERMINISTIC AND 
ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW 98W CONTINUING TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD AND 
DEVELOPING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
HIGH. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 062230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO 
HIGH.//
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