ABPW10 PGTW 050600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZAUG2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041351ZAUG2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZAUG2025//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 04AUG25 1200Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 28.1N 161.9E, APPROXIMATELY 588 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF 
WAKE ISLAND, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN33 PGTW 041500) FOR THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) AT 05AUG25 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (BAILU) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 38.1N 157.2E, APPROXIMATELY 755 NM EAST OF MISAWA, 
JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED EASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 050300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
25.8N 159.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 160.0E, APPROXIMATELY 528 NM 
NORTHWEST OF WAKE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) 
DEPICTS A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH 
PERSISTENT CONVECTION AND FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING AROUND THE LLCC 
TO THE EAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(VWS) OF 15-20 KNOTS, GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM 
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLES 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING A NORTHWARD TRACK AND MARGINAL 
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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