ABPW10 PGTW 030100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/030100Z-030600ZAUG2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021951ZAUG2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/021952ZAUG2025//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 02AUG25 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 12W (KROSA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 39.0N 147.9E, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MISAWA, 
JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 022100) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) AT 02AUG25 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 13W (THIRTEEN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 31.0N 140.5E, APPROXIMATELY 261 NM SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, AND 
HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN32 PGTW 022100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
28.2N 167.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 165.8E, APPROXIMATELY 386 NM 
NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(EIR) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH 
FLARING CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHEAST. A 022150Z ASCAT METOP-B 
25KM IMAGE REVEALS A SWATH OF ELEVATED WINDS (20-25 KNOTS) JUST TO THE 
SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE CIRCULATION CENTER. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(20-25 KTS) FROM THE NORTH, OFFSET BY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES 
(29-30C) AND A MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL. GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN A FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 95W WILL TRACK 
SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS AND CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM.//
NNNN