ABPW10 PGTW 010600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/010600Z-020600ZAUG2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010151ZAUG2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 01AUG25 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 12W (KROSA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 32.6N 141.7E, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, 
JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 010300) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
25.9N 131.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.6N 132.7E, APPROXIMATELY 82 NM 
EAST OF MINAMI DAITO JIMA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) 
DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION. A PARTIAL 010502Z 
ASCAT-B PASS REVEALS AN ASYMMETRIC WEAK WIND FIELD OF 15-20 KNOT WINDS 
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY DUE TO THE ENHANCED MONSOONAL FLOW. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT 
WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL 
DIVERGENCE AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (28- 29C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS VARY WHETHER OR NOT 93W WILL DEVELOP INTO 
A TROPICAL CYCLONE, BUT IF IT DOES, THE DEVELOPMENT WILL BE SLOW AS IT 
TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN