ABPW10 PGTW 312200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/312200ZJUL2025-010600ZAUG2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/311951ZJUL2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 31JUL25 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 12W (KROSA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 31.6N 142.0E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA, 
JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 312100) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 25.9N 
131.6E, APPROXIMATELY 209 NM EAST OF OKINAWA, JAPAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, POORLY-ORGANIZED LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING 
NEAR THE CENTER. A 311148Z ASCAT METOP-B PASS SUPPORTING THE EIR 
INDICATES A BROAD LLCC WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-20 KNOTS OVER THE 
WESTERN QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY 
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 15-20 KNOTS, GOOD POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND 
WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29C. NUMERICAL MODELS 
INDICATE SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS EASTWARD AND 
NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//
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