ABPW10 PGTW 230600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/230600Z-240600ZJUL2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220751ZJUL2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230152ZJUL2025//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230151ZJUL2025//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING. REFS B AND C ARE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 22JUL25 0600Z, TROPICAL STORM 09W (WIPHA) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 20.3N 106.2E, APPROXIMATELY 45 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HANOI, 
VIETNAM, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 220900) FOR THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) AT 23JUL25 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (ELEVEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 120.5E, APPROXIMATELY 254 NM NORTH OF MANILA, 
PHILIPPINES, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE 
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN33 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (3) AT 23JUL25 0000Z, TROPICAL STORM 10W (FRANCISCO) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 20.8N 129.9E, APPROXIMATELY 361 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 
45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (WTPN32 PGTW 230300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
8.7N 154.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 148.4E, APPROXIMATELY 248 NM 
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE (MSI) IMAGERY 
DEPICTS A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING 
CONVECTION, AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE FROM THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT 
WRAPPING AROUND THE LLCC NEAR GUAM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE VWS (VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR), WARM (30-31 C) SST (SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE) AND GOOD 
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS AGREE ON STEADY DEVELOPMENT 
AND A NORTHWESTERN TRACK STEERING TOWARDS JAPAN WITHIN A 24-36 HOUR 
PERIOD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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