ABPW10 PGTW 161800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/161800Z-170600ZJUL2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
14.1N 131.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 129.3E, APPROXIMATELY 601 NM EAST 
OF LEGAZPI. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A SLOWLY 
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OBSCURED BY FLARING 
CONVECTION WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING BUILDING NEAR THE CENTER. A PARTIAL 
161155Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS A BROAD AND ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH ITS 
STRONGEST WINDS TO THE WEST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA 
INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-
20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND 
MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN 
FAIR AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION 96W WILL CONTINUE WEST 
NORTHWEST AS IT GRADUALLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ENSEMBLE 
GUIDANCE AGREES ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK WITH ECENS BEING MORE 
AGGRESSIVE ON DEVELOPMENT THAN THE GEFS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REMOVED 08W (EIGHT) INFORMATION DUE TO 
FINAL WARNING EXPIRATION.//
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