ABIO10 PGTW 150030
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/150030Z-151800ZJUL2025//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 5.1S 
90.8E, APPROXIMATELY 626 NM NORTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AS WELL AS A 142153Z 89GHZ GMI IMAGE DISPLAY 
AN AREA OF DEEP FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF A 
WEAKLY DEFINED LLCC, INFRARED SATELLITE ALSO DEPICTS FORMATIVE 
CONVECTIVE ALONG THE EDGES OF SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE SEMICIRCLE. 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL 
OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-30C). HOWEVER, THIS WILL 
BE OFFSET BY VERY HIGH (GREATER THAN 35KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. CURRENT 
GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODEL ANALYSIS HAS THE INVEST 90S PROGRESSING ON A 
EASTERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS, BUT NEVER FULLY REACHING TROPICAL 
CYCLONE CRITERIA . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 
TO 27 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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