ABPW10 PGTW 141930
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/141930Z-150600ZJUL2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140152ZJUL2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141351ZJUL2025//
REF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141921ZJUL2025//
NARR/REF A IS A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FINAL WARNING. REF B IS A 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF C IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION 
ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 14JUL25 0000Z, SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 07W (SEVEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 32.7N 130.8E, APPROXIMATELY 60 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF 
SASEBO, JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 140300) FOR THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) AT 14JUL25 1200Z, TROPICAL STORM 06W (NARI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 
39.7N 142.5E, APPROXIMATELY 73 NM SOUTHEAST OF MISAWA, JAPAN, AND HAD 
TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 29 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50 
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 141500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
26.0N 139.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 139.6E, APPROXIMATELY 505 NM 
SOUTH OF TOKYO, JAPAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(EIR) DEPICTS A COMPACT AREA OF DEEP CORE CONVECTION BUILT OVER THE 
CENTER OF THE SYSTEM. A 141048Z ASCAT-B PASS REVEALED A SHARP CUSP 
FEATURE AND 25-30 KNOT WINDS ISOLATED ALONG THE EASTERN QUADRANTS. 
THIS SMALL SYSTEM IS FORMING WITHIN AN EXTENSIVE SWATH OF ELEVATED 
(20-30 KNOT) SOUTHERLY WINDS TRAILING IN THE WAKE OF 06W. 
ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT MOVING FORWARD 
WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 10-15 KNOTS, GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT AND WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. DETERMINISTIC 
MODELS SHOW THE SYSTEM FAILING TO CLOSE OFF INTO A DEFINED CIRCULATION 
AS IT QUICKLY TRACKS TO THE NORTH, BUT WITH ENHANCED WINDS CONFINED TO 
THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. TRACK GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT REGARDING THE 
TRAJECTORY OF THE SYSTEM WITH MINIMAL SPREAD IN ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 141930) 
FOR FURTHER DETAILS. 
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.//
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