ABPW10 PGTW 110600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/110600Z-120600ZJUL2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZJUL2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 11JUL25 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 06W (SIX) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 25.0N 140.4E, APPROXIMATELY 50 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF IWO TO, AND 
HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 110300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
26.4N 126.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 126.9E, APPROXIMATELY 162 NM 
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING WITH 
SPARSE CONVECTION FLARING TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION (LLC). FURTHERMORE, A 101313Z ASCAT METOP-B PASS 
EMPHASIZES THE BROAD NATURE OF 92W. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 
92W IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM 
(29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) WESTERLY 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW TO THE EAST OF 
THE SYSTEM. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN FAIR 
AGREEMENT ON A NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS, WITH GFS 
BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN TERMS OF INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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