ABPW10 PGTW 101800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/101800Z-110600ZJUL2025// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 142.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 141.8E, APPROXIMATELY 99 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A COMPACT, CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION DIRECTLY OVER THE CENTER. A 101131Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS REVEALS AN ILL-DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH ELEVATED (25-30KT) SOUTHERLY WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A NORTHWARD TRACK WITH MARGINAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH ECENS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE OVERALL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 25.9N 126.8E, APPROXIMATELY 59 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING WITH SPARSE CONVECTION FLARING TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). FURTHERMORE, A 101313Z ASCAT METOP-B PASS EMPHASIZES THE BROAD NATURE OF 92W. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 92W IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON A NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS, WITH GFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN TERMS OF INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM AND ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2).// NNNN