ABPW10 PGTW 100200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100200Z-100600ZJUN2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
16.4N 117.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 115.0E, APPROXIMATELY 420 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF HAIKOU, CHINA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) DEPICTS AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH 
FLARING CONVECTION NEAR THE ASSESSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) AND DISSIPATING CONVECTION OVER THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN 
SEMICIRCLE OF THE CIRCULATION. A PARTIAL 092255Z SSMIS COLOR-ENHANCED 
91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS FORMATIVE LOW-LEVEL BANDING OVER THE 
NORTHERN AND EASTERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION AND DEEP 
CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION, THOUGH THE CONVECTION AT 
PRESENT TIME IS STILL SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD 
EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) 
OF 29-30 C, OFFSET BY AN ANTI-CYCLONE NORTH OF THE LLCC INDUCING LOW TO 
MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR OF 15-20 KNOTS. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL STEADILY CONSOLIDATE AND 
INTENSIFY WHILE TRACKING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM.//
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