ABPW10 PGTW 090600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZJUN2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.2N 123.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 117.3E, APPROXIMATELY 394 NM 
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD, PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH 
FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. A 090152Z 
ASCAT METOP-B 25KM IMAGE REVEALS 10 KNOT WINDS WRAPPING IN FROM THE 
NORTH AND EAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MODERATELY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT, WITH MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WARM (30C) SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 
15-20 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHEAST. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS 
ARE CURRENTLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A WESTWARD TRACK FURTHER INTO THE 
SOUTH CHINA SEA OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION AS 
THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 
BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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