ABIO10 PGTW 280100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/280100Z-281800ZMAY2025//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 19.1N 
87.9E, APPROXIMATELY 205 NM SOUTH OF KOLKATA, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LLCC WITH EXTENSIVE 
CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SEMICIRCLES, WITH NO 
DISTINCT CENTER. A 271502Z ASCAT-C IMAGE INDICATES A LARGE CORE OF 
WEAK WINDS (0-5 KNOTS), WITH AN EXTENSIVE SWATH OF 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS 
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTIVE BANDING. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES GENERALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR (15-20KTS), GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (29-30C). HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 
INTO A WARM-CORE TROPICAL CYCLONE DUE TO THE LIMITED TRACK OVER WATER. 
GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A POLEWARD TRACK AND STEADY DEEPENING THROUGH 
LANDFALL OVER NORTHEAST INDIA AND BANGLADESH WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 
HOURS. GALE-FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP PRIOR TO LANDFALL. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED MONSOON DEPRESSION AS A LOW IN 
PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1).//
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