ABIO10 PGTW 241800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z-
251800ZMAY2025//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
17.1N 75.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 75.7E, APPROXIMATELY 164 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) REVEALS A WEAK AND EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) 
OVER LAND WITH A DISLOCATED AREAOF FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN 
COAST OF INDIA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS 
FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW SIGNIFICANTLY OFFSET BY 
MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SIGNIFICANT TERRAIN 
INTERACTION. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE A LOW LIKELIHOOD OF 
DEVELOPMENT AS THE CIRCULATION CONTINUES OVER INDIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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