ABIO10 PGTW 241200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/241200Z-241800ZMAY2025//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
17.1N 75.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 75.1E, APPROXIMATELY 163 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) REVEALS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER LAND 
WITH AN AREA OF DISPLACED FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF 
INDIA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW GREATLY OFFSET BY MODERATE 
TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SIGNIFICANT TERRAIN 
INTERACTION. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS MAINTAIN A NARRATIVE OF NON 
DEVELOPMENT AS THE VORTEX STAGNATES OVER INDIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)//
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