ABIO10 PGTW 201800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/201800Z-
211800ZMAY2025//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.2N 
73.9E, APPROXIMATELY 292 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 201636Z METOP-B ASCAT 
SCATTEROMETRY DATA SHOW WEAK TURNING WITH 20-25KT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 
AND A POORLY DEFINED LLCC WITH SPARSE CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN 
PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR 
DEVELOPMENT DUE TO LOW (10-15KT) VWS, MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE, 
AND WARM (29-30C) SST. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD 
TRACK WITH SLOW DEVELOPMENT. GFS INDICATES TC FORMATION WITHIN THE NEXT 
96HRS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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