ABPW10 PGTW 100600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZMAY2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
7.7S 138.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.1S 136.8E, APPROXIMATELY 311 NM NORTH 
OF GOVE AIRPORT, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) DEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING, PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHERN 
PERIPHERY OF THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MODERATE 
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. FURTHERMORE, WARM (28-
29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND A HUMID CLIMATE ARE CURRENTLY HELPING 
93P WITH POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN 
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 93P WILL REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY NEAR THE 
ARAFURA SEA AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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