ABPW10 PGTW 170600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/170600Z-180600ZAPR2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
9.0S 136.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9S 136.7E, APPROXIMATELY 204 NM NORTH 
OF GOVE AIRPORT, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
REVEALS A PARTIALLY OBSCURED, CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION 
EMBEDDED UNDER A LARGER AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION. A 170014Z ASCAT 
METOP-B IMAGE REVEALS A SMALL AREA OF 25 KTS COMING FROM THE NORTH 
WITHIN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE AND 15-20 KTS ELSEWHERE. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH 
LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND 
WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE 
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT, SHOWING INTENSIFICATION IN THE GULF OF 
CARPENTARIA OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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