ABPW10 PGTW 170130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/170130Z-170600ZAPR2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
9.6S 135.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0S 136.8E, APPROXIMATELY 407 NM 
EAST-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY REVEALS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EMBEDDED 
UNDER A LARGER AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS 
A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KNOTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT, SHOWING 
INTENSIFICATION IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE 
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 30P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 29.1S 172.7E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA. 2.C.(1).//
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