ABPW10 PGTW 140600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZAPR2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140152ZAPR2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.1S 168.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S 167.7E, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM 
NORTH OF PORT VILA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) 
AND A 131939Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH SLIGHT LOW-LEVEL BANDING BEGINNING TO 
WRAP FROM THE NORTHEAST AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITS SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD. 
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA WITH 
DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT 
WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C), LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-
10KT) AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD 
AGREEMENT WITH 98P TRACKING SOUTHWARD WITH DEVELOPMENT AND 
INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 12-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. 
SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 140200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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