ABPW10 PGTW 131200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/131200Z-140600ZAPR2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1)AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.6S 
170.2E, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT VILA. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 130649 F17 SSMIS 
91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION OVER A POORLY-
ORGANIZED LLCC WITH SLIGHT LOW-LEVEL BANDING TO THE SOUTH. A 131001Z 
ASCAT METOP-C PASS REVEALS A CONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION WITH 20 KNOT 
WINDS WITHIN THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERIES, NOT YET 
COMPLETELY WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 
THAT 98S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL 
WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND STRONG 
POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR WILL BE 
HOW MUCH THE BROAD CIRCULATION IS ABLE TO CONSOLIDATE. THE GFS SHOWS 
A QUICK INTENSIFICATION TREND, ATTAINING GALE-FORCE WINDS IN THE 
EASTERN SEMICIRCLE WITHIN 24 HOURS. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODEL 
GUIDANCE AGREES ON A GENERALLY SOUTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1).//
NNNN