ABIO10 PGTW 221400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/221400Z-221800ZMAR2025//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.5S 
115.5E, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH. ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 220546Z AMSR2 89H DEPICT A BROAD AND 
POORLY-ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FRAGMENTED, 
DEVELOPING BANDING AND FLARING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS A MODERATE TO FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT 
WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 15-20 KNOTS, MODERATE 
OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 30-31 C. 
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS INDICATE SLOW DEVELOPMENT WITH A 
GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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