WTXS32 PGTW 100900 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE) WARNING NR 004// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (JUDE) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z --- NEAR 15.2S 39.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S 39.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 15.3S 38.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 15.5S 36.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 16.0S 35.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 100900Z POSITION NEAR 15.2S 39.5E. 10MAR25. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25S (JUDE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 59 NM SOUTHWEST OF NACALA, MOZAMBIQUE, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 25S MADE LANDFALL APPROXIMATELY 35NM SOUTH OF NACALA AT 100000Z AND HAS TRACKED INLAND OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE CORE CONVECTION, WITH WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER, A 100308Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A NEAR-COMPLETE EYEWALL SURROUNDING A SMALL MICROWAVE EYE FEATURE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED CONSERVATIVELY AT 65 KNOTS BASED ON THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. TC 25S IS FORECAST TO RECURVE SOUTHWESTWARD BY TAU 36, WITH A SHARP TURN SOUTHEASTWARD AFTER TAU 48 AS THE STR SHIFTS NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. TC 25S WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN OVER LAND AND SHOULD WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY TAU 36. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REEMERGE OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL BY TAU 72, WITH GRADUAL REINTENSIFICATION TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 100600Z IS 983 MB. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (IVONE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN