ABIO10 PGTW 081800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/081800Z-
091800ZMAR2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080751ZMAR2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/080351ZMAR2025//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE 
FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 08MAR25 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (TWENTYFOUR) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 11.9S 84.7E, APPROXIMATELY 777 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO 
GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
13.9S 49.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S 46.5E, APPROXIMATELY 238 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF COMOROS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) 
DEPICTS A QUICKLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) 
ASSOCIATED WITH CURVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS 
ARE FAVORABLE DUE TO GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 
KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THE 99S WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE 
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A WESTWARD TRACK, TOWARD MOZAMBIQUE. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS22 PGTW 080400) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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