ABPW10 PGTW 221500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/221500Z-230600ZFEB2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221351ZFEB2025//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221352ZFEB2025//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 22FEB25 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (EIGHTEEN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 14.8S 150.2E, APPROXIMATELY 283 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, 
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 221500) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) AT 22FEB25 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (NINETEEN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 13.5S 177.7W, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM WEST OF PAGO PAGO, AND HAD 
TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. 
SEE REF A (WTPS32 PGTW 221500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
13.6S 178.5W IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE 
PARA. 2.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
21.2S 166.6W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.5S 166.6W, APPROXIMATELY 499 NM 
EAST OF TONGA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL 
CYCLONE, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND 
MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF ROTATION WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED 
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE LLCC IS OBSERVED TO BE MOSTLY 
SEPARATED FROM THE BLOWING CONVECTION OF 92P. A 220851Z PARTIAL ASCAT-B 
SCATTEROMETERY PASS REVEALS THE ASYMMETRIC NATURE OF 92P WITH 30-35KT 
WINDS WRAPPING AROUND AN EXTREMELY ELONGATED CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 92P IS CURRENTLY IN A MARGINALLY 
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH COOL (24-26C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, 
LOW TO MODERATE (15-20KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND MODERATE OUTFLOW 
ALOFT. HOWEVER, AS THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE SOUTHEAST IT 
WILL ENTER IN AN AREA OF INCREASED WIND SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 30-40 KNOTS 
AND STRONG WESTERLIES ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 
92P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AS A SUBTROPICAL LOW.  JTWC 
WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR INVEST 92P FOR SIGNS OF TROPICAL 
TRANSITION. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER 
CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO 
DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 33 TO 38 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 
BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO
WARNING STATUS.//
NNNN