ABIO10 PGTW 182100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/182100Z-191800ZFEB2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181951ZFEB2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 18FEB25 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 31.1S 75.9E, APPROXIMATELY 1181 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, 
MAURITIUS AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS33 PGTW 182100) FOR THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.4S 127.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2S 127.4E, APPROXIMATELY 215 NM 
WEST-NORTHWEST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS A WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP 
FLARING CONVECTION TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST. AN 180202Z ASCAT METOP-B 
SCATTEROMETRY PASS REVEALS 15-20 KNOT WINDS BEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE 
LLCC, WITH STRONGER WINDS OF 20-30 KNOTS APPROXIMATELY 150 NM TO THE 
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 
99S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM 
(29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOT) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE NOT IN AGREEMENT WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA. 2.A.(1) WITH 14S FINAL 
WARNING INFORMATION.//
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