ABPW10 PGTW 120600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZFEB2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120153ZFEB2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.2N 
112.1E, APPROXIMATELY 267 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SPRATLY ISLANDS. ANIMATED 
VISIBLE IMAGERY DEPICTS A COMPACT BUT DISORGANIZED LLCC. FURTHERMORE, A 
120211Z ASCAT METOP-B 25KM IMAGE REVEALS ENHANCED NORTHERLY WINDS (15-20 
KNOTS) FUNNELING ALONG THE COAST OF VIETNAM BUT NOT YET TURNING EAST AND 
WRAPPING INTO THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN 
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH (20-
25 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND 
MARGINAL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (26 C). GLOBAL MODELS ARE CURRENTLY IN 
AGREEMENT ON A SOUTHERLY TRACK OVER WITH LITTLE DEVELOPMENT DUE TO FURTHER 
INCREASING SHEAR WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 12FEB25 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 16P (SIXTEEN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 23.6S 166.6E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW 
CALEDONIA, AND HAD TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 120300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING 
ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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