ABPW10 PGTW 101230
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/101230Z-110600ZFEB2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
19.5S 156.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.6S 158.4E, APPROXIMATELY 587 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALADONEA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE 
IMAGERY AND A 100315Z AMSR2 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD AREA OF 
ROTATION WITH FLARING CYCLICAL CONVECTION ISOLATED TO THE NORTH EASTERN 
QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT INVEST 
95P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM 
(2829C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL 
DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT ON THE GRADUAL CONSOLIDATION OF THE 
CIRCULATION OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MAINTAINS A PRIMARILY EAST-
SOUTHEAST TRACK. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN 2.B.(1) TO MEDIUM//
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