ABPW10 PGTW 061200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061200Z-070600ZFEB2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061121ZFEB2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
20.5S 161.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.1S 162.7E, APPROXIMATELY 209 NM 
WEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE 
IMAGERY DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH 
FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(VWS) OF 30-40 KNOTS, MODERATE EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND 
WARMISH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 26-27 C. DETERMINISTIC MODELS 
CONTINUE TO SHOW THE CIRCULATION CONTINUING TO ELONGATE WITH POSSIBLE 
GALE-FORCE WINDS OCCURRING WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, 
DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY BE AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, AS CURRENT PHASE 
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS ALREADY STARTING THE SUBTROPICAL 
TRANSITION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW. SEE REF A (WTPS22 PGTW 061200) 
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO 
LOW.//
NNNN