ABPW10 PGTW 051200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/051200Z-060600ZFEB2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051121ZFEB2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
19.9S 161.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.5S 161.5E, APPROXIMATELY 208 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALADONEA. THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) 
PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 19.9S 161.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.5S 161.5E, 
APPROXIMATELY 298 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) AS WELL AS A 050758Z SSMIS MICROWAVE IMAGE 
DEPICTS A COMPACT, ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH 
PROMINENT CURVED CONVECTIVE BANDING TO THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN 
PERIPHERY. AT THE MOMENT GOOD ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE GENERALLY 
FAVORABLE WITH WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO MODERATE 
(15-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND STRONG RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER, 
THERE IS A SHORT WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR DEVELOPMENT, AND GLOBAL MODELS 
INDICATE OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS IF THE AREA OF CONVECTION (92P) DOES 
NOT REACH WARNING CRITERIA IT WILL BE OVER TAKEN BY HIGH SHEAR AND DRY AIR 
ENTRAINMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE:  REMOVED 15P (FIFTEEN) INFORMATION DUE TO 
FINAL WARNING EXPIRATION, TCFA FOR INVEST 92P REISSUED.//
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