ABPW10 PGTW 050400
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/050400Z-050600ZFEB2025//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050154ZFEB2025//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 05FEB25 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 21.3S 174.1E, APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, AND HAD 
TRACKED EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A 
(WTPS31 PGTW 050300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
19.1S 161.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.9S 161.5E, APPROXIMATELY 659 NM 
NORTHEAST OF BRISBANE. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A 
COMPACT, CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH 
PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE CENTER. A KNES DVORAK 
INTENSITY OF 2.0 REMAINS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS WIND DATA (30KTS) AS 
WELL AS A 4MB REDUCTION IN PRESSURE OVER THE LAST 5 HOURS FURTHER 
SUPPORTING THE DEEP CENTRALIZED CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES THAT INVEST 92P IS IN A RELATIVELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT DUE TO WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW TO 
MODERATE (15-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND STRONG, RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 92P WILL CONTINUE TO 
CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND TRACK IN A GENERAL SOUTHEASTERLY 
DIRECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA. 2.A.(1) WITH 15P FINAL 
WARNING INFORMATION.//
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