WTPS31 PGTW 050300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 006// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15P (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z --- NEAR 21.3S 174.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.3S 174.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z --- 21.2S 175.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY SUBTROPICAL RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 050300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3S 174.5E. 05FEB25. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 15P (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM SOUTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 15P HAS TRACKED POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET UNDER STRONG WESTERLIES, WITH HIGH (40-45 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WITH POORLY ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED EAST OF THE CENTER. BASED ON THIS DETAILED ANALYSIS, THE SYSTEM HAS TRANSITIONED INTO A SUBTROPICAL STORM AND IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY STEER EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH TAU 48, WITH POTENTIAL RE-INTENSIFICATION AS A SUBTROPICAL LOW BY TAU 48. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 050000Z IS 998 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z IS 10 FEET.// NNNN