ABPW10 PGTW 021330 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/021330Z-030600ZFEB2025// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/020551ZFEB2025// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.5S 164.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.0S 164.2E, APPROXIMATELY 238 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), JUST NORTH OF NEW CALEDONIA, WITH WIDESPREAD CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND SOUTHEAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 30-40 KNOTS, STRONG POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29 C. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS INDICATE WEAK DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH AN EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK AND A SMALL WINDOW OF POTENTIAL TC INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 020600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.1S 158.9E, APPROXIMATELY 613 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY- EXPOSED, CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION BUILDING OVER THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH (30-35 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, MODERATE EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS INDICATE GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS, ALONG AN EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK, WITH GFS BEING THE MOST AGRESSIVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(2).// NNNN