ABPW10 PGTW 011930
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/011930Z-020600ZFEB2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.6S 165.9E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT 
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
15.6S 165.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.5S 164.3E, APPROXIMATELY 239 NM WEST-
SOUTHWEST OF PORT VILLA, VANUATU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) DEPICTS A WEAKLY-DEFINED, FULLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 
(LLCC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. A 312238Z ASCAT 
METOP-C REVEALS THAT THE LLCC IS VERY ELONGATED IN THE NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST 
DIRECTION WITH SOME ELEVATED (25-30 KTS) WINDS IN THE EASTERN AND SOUTHERN 
PERIPHERIES, NEAR VANUATU. A SURFACE OBSERVATION FROM BAUERFIELD (NVVV) 
SHOWS A WIND SHIFT FROM THE NORTHEAST TO THE EASTSOUTHEAST WITH A SLIGHT 
DECREASE IN AIR PRESSURE TO 1003 MB OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL 
ANALYSIS REVEALS MARGINAL CONDITIONS, WITH HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 30-
40 KNOTS, GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPERLEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 28-29 C. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE WEAK DEVELOPMENT 
WITH A SOUTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A SOUTHEASTWARD 
SHIFT IN THE FOLLOWING 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 
NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DISSIPATED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1)//
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