ABPW10 PGTW 300130
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/300130Z-300600ZJAN2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
16.8S 145.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.2S 147.5E, APPROXIMATELY 102 NM 
EAST OF CAIRNS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A 
POORLY-ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH WEAK AND 
DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS 
BEEN RE-POSITIONED INTO A RELATIVELY CLOUD FREE AREA SURROUNDED BY 
TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING. THE NEW LLCC IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH GFS 
FIELDS AND IS INDICATIVE OF AN IMMATURE CIRCULATION THAT HAS BEEN 
MOVING ERRATICALLY THUS FAR. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS THAT 
INVEST 96P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH 
GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES, AND LOW (5-10 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW. 
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO
LOW.//
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