ABPW10 PGTW 100000
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/100000Z-100600ZJAN2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.7S 
175.5W, APPROXIMATELY 328 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NIUE. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DISORGANIZED WIDESPREAD CONVECTION 
OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. PREVIOUS ASCAT IMAGERY DEPICTS 
AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTH PACIFIC CONVERGENCE 
ZONE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW (10-15 KNOTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND STRONG POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW CHANNELS 
ALOFT. THE MAIN HINDRANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT IS THE ELONGATED NATURE OF 98P 
AND ITS INABILITY TO CONSOLIDATE MOVING FORWARD. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND 
ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK OVER 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 
30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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