ABIO10 PGTW 071800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/071800Z-
081800ZJAN2025//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
12.7S 79.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.1S 77.2E, APPROXIMATELY 494 NM 
SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AS 
WELL AS A 071259Z SSMIS F16 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS A SLOWLY 
CONSOLIDATING LLC WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER COUPLED WITH 
FRAGMENTED FORMATIVE BANDING ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY. 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS FOR 94S ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS), A POLEWARD OUTFLOW CHANNEL ALOFT, AND WARM 
(27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE AND DETERMINISTIC 
MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 94S WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND TRACK 
WEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED 
AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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