ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZJAN2025//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.0S 174.3W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.3S 173.3W, APPROXIMATELY 283 NM 
SOUTHWEST OF PAGO PAGO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 
062218Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A POORLY ORGANIZED LLC WITH 
PERSISTENT CONVECTION TO THE NORTH. FURTHERMORE, A 062114Z ASCAT-B 
REVEALS RELATIVELY HIGHER WINDS TUCKED UNDER THE CONVECTION WITH 
LOCALIZED CYCLONIC TURNING TO THE SOUTH. UPPERLEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES 
96P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KNOT) 
VWS, GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND WARM (28-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 96P WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK 
SOUTHEASTERLY WITH QUICK CONSOLIDATION AS IS TYPICAL WITH SYSTEMS IN 
THE SOUTH PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE (SPCZ). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE 
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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