ABIO10 PGTW 301300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN 
REISSUED/301300Z-301800ZDEC2024//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.5S 
110.0E, APPROXIMATELY 282 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) AS WELL AS A 300600Z AMSR2 36 GHZ 
MICROWAVE PASS INDICATE AN AREA OF BROAD CIRCULATION AND FLARING 
CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE WEST OF A DISORGANIZED AND ELONGATED LLCC. 
EARLIER SCATTEROMETER DATA DEPICTED A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH 15-20 KNOTS 
WINDS AROUND TWO-THIRDS OF THE OVERALL ROTATION, AND LIGHTER WINDS IN THE 
SOUTHEASTERN SECTION OF THE CIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS OF THE 
AREA INDICATES MODERATELY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO 
MODERATE WIND SHEAR (15-20KTS) TO THE NORTH, AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW 
OFFSET BY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (28-29C). GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC 
MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONFIDENT IN STEADY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 48-72 
HOURS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE 
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
NNNN